← Home
Polymarket Weather PAPER
Stage 1
2026-05-22
Updated 2026-05-22 03:05 SGT
Win Rate
88.8%
Net P&L
$-16.50
Closed Bets
89
Open Bets
66
Sharpe
-0.032
Max DD
-$51.39
Profit Factor
0.873
Max Bet
$25.0
Stage 1 Stats
Stage Bets
89
Stage WR
88.8%
Stage PnL
$-16.50
TARGET   60% WR  ·  $12/hr  ·  $8,640/mo     STAGE 2 STATS  ·  since 2026-05-07
Open Positions
MarketSideStakedEntryEdgeEVOpenedStatus
Will the highest temperature in Miami be UP $5.28 0.6117 +9.7% $0.51 2026-05-21T00:22 OPEN
Will the highest temperature in Seattle DOWN $11.45 0.7189 +-12.7% $-1.46 2026-05-21T00:22 OPEN
Will the highest temperature in San Fran DOWN $5.51 0.9128 +-6.0% $-0.33 2026-05-21T00:22 OPEN
Will the highest temperature in Toronto DOWN $3.47 0.8530 +-12.0% $-0.42 2026-05-21T02:51 OPEN
Will the highest temperature in Houston DOWN $3.19 0.8286 +-11.0% $-0.35 2026-05-21T03:52 OPEN
Will the highest temperature in Toronto DOWN $3.13 0.8392 +-12.0% $-0.38 2026-05-21T04:52 OPEN
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw b DOWN $3.63 0.6895 +-17.3% $-0.63 2026-05-21T08:20 OPEN
Will the highest temperature in Munich b DOWN $3.26 0.6655 +-14.9% $-0.49 2026-05-21T08:21 OPEN
Will the highest temperature in Madrid b DOWN $3.08 0.6965 +-17.0% $-0.52 2026-05-21T08:21 OPEN
Will the highest temperature in Ankara b DOWN $3.91 0.6983 +-14.2% $-0.56 2026-05-21T09:49 OPEN
Full Closed Bets History
Closed Market Side Staked P&L Edge ROI Status
Cumulative P&L
Last settle: 2026-05-22 03:00
Rolling 20-Trade Win Rate
Drawdown %
P&L Distribution
Win Rate by Edge Bucket
Model Performance by Edge Bucket
Edge Bucket Bets W / L Win % Staked P&L ROI
UP Bets
Count
11
W / L
7 / 4
Win Rate
63.6%
PnL $-16.43
DOWN Bets
Count
78
W / L
72 / 6
Win Rate
92.3%
PnL $-0.07
Stage Cashout History
Start Balance
$500.00
Last Cashout
Total Banked
$0.00
NO CASHOUTS YET